JUNE 2001

• Notes for speculators from Shanghai, China… My recent trip to the Orient opened my eyes to market movement, speculation and Trading for profits.
• The Laws of Speculation Remain Unchanged...
  • The Pattern That Forecast…The Recent 400 Pt Dow Up Move
• A Follow up from Last Month. More Market Road Maps - The idea
  • My idea was to determine how any given market moves, on average, during a month.

JULY 2001

• The Monday Effect on Stock Prices - Proving Academia Wrong Again
• Two Very Special Patterns... For Very Special Commodity Timing Subscribers

AUGUST 2001

• Death of the Turtle?
• The Turtle System, Explained In Detail
• The Creation Of The Turtles
• Rules Of The System
• A Little History of the Turtles

SEPTEMBER 2001

• Knowing the Future
• A Look at the Emotional Side of the Markets
• The Key to Charting
• An Insight
• Covered Up Market Secrets
• Putting It To Use
• The Opening Does Matter

OCTOBER 2001

• Lifetime Buying Point Coming Soon
  • Countdown To A Fortune
  • Why This Pattern?
• The Four-Year Phenomena
• The Operating Rule
• Timing the Turn

NOVEMBER 2001

• The War and the Markets… Timing is Everything
• A Word or Two on Stock Market Investing
• My Best Bond Patterns
  • The Buy Signal
  • The Sell Signal

DECEMBER 2001

• Measuring Trend Integrity
• DMI/ADX --- The X-Ray Tool Of Technical Analysis
• Reversals in the Bond Market... Mean Something in the Stock Market
• Holiday Trading

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JANUARY 2002

• 2002 The Year That Will Be Historic
  • The Most Accurate Forecast I Have Seen
• DOW Could Possibly Gain 5000 Points... From its 2002 Low to its High in 2003
  • The Long And Short Of It
• Bonds and Seasonality

FEBRUARY 2002

• A New Way of Looking at an Old Trading Idea
  • TDOMS vs. Week Day Performance
• The Magic of Mondays in February
• Selling in February
• A February Forecast
• The Secret to Speculation

MARCH 2002

• A Word or Two on the Mentoring Mania
• A Different View of The Commercials
  • A New Way…15 Weeks
• A Great Little S&P 500 Pattern

APRIL 2002

• The Secret of Emotional Management...Why are there so many books and seminars on the psychology of trading? Are we all psycho cases... or does the business turn us that way?
  • How To Be Sane And Still Trade
• Resolving the Emotions
  • Can You Handle The Truth?
  • There It Is --- The Key Ingredient

MAY 2002

• The Myth of the Large Trader... The “Big Boys” run the game and make a bundle of money trading commodities, right? Hardly, the evidence reveals.           
• Enough of the Details
• Seasonal Trades to be on the Lookout For

JUNE 2002

• Large Traders... Trading Habits Revisited... The myth of the large trader and floor traders i that they are out to get us... that they are smarter and shrewder than we mere mortals. This month I continue to expose that, “it just ain’t that way.”
  • Understanding The Funds
• The Ultimate Trend End Indicator?
  •  Introducing The Larger Trader Index
• When to Sell Short the S&P 500

JULY 2002

• The Power of Williams %R
  • The Formula
• The Trend is the Basis of All Profits
  • Specific Entry
• July Hot Spots
• Special S&P 500 July Report
  • Trading Days Of The Month For July
  • Holiday Influences

AUGUST 2002

• Getting You Ready... It’s almost here... the best buy point in stocks for the first part of this decade.  Here’s more on this opportunity:
  • Fools Rush In
  • The General Thesis
• Special Report
  • Goofy Gapper

SEPTEMBER 2002

• Optimization is a Four Letter Word... A look at what it takes to build a good trading system...
  • The Observation, Don’t Put the Chart Before The Horse
• The Rules We Learned
• The Importance of Inside Days
  • All the Details

OCTOBER 2002

• Laying it All on the Line
• So Much for Market Timing... Now Which Stock Should We Buy?

NOVEMBER 2002

• The Importance of the Trend has Been Underestimated
• Talking about the Trend
  • The Number One Problem Of Trend Trading
  • Trend Structure

DECEMBER 2002

• Judging the Future From the Past
• Cattle Seasonal Influence
• More Good News --- Bonds and the S&P 500
  • Getting Specific
  • End The Year On A Bond Market Bang

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JANUARY 2003

• The History of Years Ending in 3
• Up Close And Personal On “3” Years
• Confirming The ‘3’ Year Bull Market
• Seasonal Trades for the S&P 500

FEBRUARY 2003

• The Mythe and Magic of Market Math
• Short Term Set Ups... Proving again, that fundamentals matter
• Bring On The Bonds

MARCH 2003

• 1997 REVISITED

APRIL 2003

• The Mind Set of Trading and This Business
• April Trading Opportunities
• Getting Specific
• T Bonds --- First On The Buy Side
• On the Sell Side

MAY 2003

• “My Hitches in Hell”… No, this is not a book on commodity trading… but, oh, the similarities!
• Seasonally Speaking
  • Back To The Seasonal Move
• Specific Trades
  • The best TDOM’s to be a buyer

JUNE 2003

• “WARNING: FUTURES TRADING, STOCK TRADING, CURRENCY TRADING, OPTIONS TRADING, ETC., involves high risks and YOU can LOSE a lot of money.”
• And Now a Step into the Future
• Getting Specific

JULY 2003

• The Market --- It's Not a Flip of a Coin... Refutation to the adage that market movement is random, no more than a flip of a coin...
• Flipping Out Over Coin Flipping
• Patterns to Trading Profits or Randomness?
• Looking at Losses
• Specific Holidays
  • July Short Term Trades

AUGUST 2003

• Trading Maxims... Rules and thoughts to live by... when trading
• How the Seasonals Stack up for August
• My Stock Market Expectations

SEPTEMBER 2003

• Systems, Sytems Everywhere. It Makes One Stop to Think
• Down to Brass Tacks
• What's Most Likely in Store
• Seasonally Speaking --- 30 Years Later
  • Short Term Seasonal Influences

OCTOBER 2003

• More Proof on a Non-Random Market Place... Presenting additional evidence of the power of the Commercials
• Calling Upon the Commercials
• Splashing Ice Water On The Professors
• It’s All About Results
• October is All About Stocks and Bonds
• The Rhyme And Reason To All This
• Darlings of The Dow

NOVEMBER 2003

• Distance --- The Key to Market Success?
• The Frustration Formula
• Breakind the Additiona
• Seasonally Speaking---But Not Much Talking
• "Be Prepared" , "Scouts Honor"
• End of Days in the S&P 500?

DECEMBER 2003

• Here's Your MBA in Commodity Trading
• The Confidence of Knowing You Are Wrong
• Is the Protection Team Protecting You?
• On a Shorter Term Note

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JANUARY 2004

• What a Waste the Mind is
  • The Toughest Part of Trading
• A New Twist on the Commercials --- Using Them for Stocks
• A Look at the Bond Market
  • A Sell, Then A Buy
  • Stocks, False Start

FEBRUARY 2004

• What You Think of My Trade... Is None of My Business
• The Effect of Volume on Stock Prices... A look at price volume relationships to determine if they have merits in the art of technical analysis...
• A Point of Interest
• Taking it to a Profitable Trading Pattern

MARCH 2004

• The Report They Will Hate Me For
• Fibonacci  Retracements

APRIL 2004

• Some Days are Better... Than Others... Here's One of Them
• Same Idea But For A Stock
• Turning Our Attention to the Bond Market
• Bonds Monday Buy
• Bonds --- It’s A Different Story

MAY 2004

• Volumes and Volumes on... Volume... Now Some Clarity
• Price Up Volume Down
• Let's Look at Buying on a Pullback
• From the Specific to the Non-Specific
• A market reversal in the making?
• A Look at 2003 in the Rear View Mirror
• The magnitude of the swings is not of importance... it’s about time

JUNE 2004

• An Insight into Outside Days
• Outside Markets More... Than You Think
• Nothing is More Difficult Than Day Trading
• Selling at the Low of the OD
• Ways to Trade Outside Days
• Update on Option Writing Strategy

JULY 2004

• Angst, the Driving Force... Of Market Success
• The Four Minute Mile and Market Success
• A Report from the Far East
• Specialist Trap in News Corp
• Double Dip The Double Gap

AUGUST 2004

• Head and Shoulder Chart Formations
• Have Head and Shoulders at Long Last Been Vindicated?
• The Index

SEPTEMBER 2004

• The Simplest... Most Profitable System of them All
• The Trend Is All Powerful

OCTOBER 2004

• Everything You Ever Wanted to Know About October... and More
• More Market Lows Have Come In October Than Any Other Month
• The True Seasonal Pattern

NOVEMBER 2004

• A New Look at an Old Friend
• Net Commercial Position
• What a Sell Set Up Looks Like
• What a Buy Set Up Looks Like

DECEMBER 2004

• Volume --- The Most Misunderstood Technical Indicator?
• One Day Matters?

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JANUARY 2005

• Set Up Trades for the First of 2005
• On the Short Side
• And a Look at Stocks
  • Looking Forward To 2005…Doing What I Should Never Do---Forecast!
• Point Counter Point... How to Tell if There's Trouble Ahead
• Speaking of Years Ending in '5'

FEBRUARY 2005

• All You Wanted to Know About Gold
  • Three Factors That Influence Gold
• Fundamental Lesson One: There is a Relationship Between the US Dollar and Gold
  • Does Gold Have A Seasonal Pattern?
• Watching The Commercials
• Fundamental Lesson Two: There is a Time to Sow and a Time to Reap Gold. It has Strong Seasonal Influences
• Watching The Commercials
• Fundamental Lesson Three: The Future Price of Gold is Heavily Influenced by What the Commercials Do
• 2+2=4 Or How To Trade Gold
• Depressions/Recessions and Stock Market Crashes

MARCH 2005

• A New Moon Arising
• New Evidence
• New Moon or Full Moon Will the Real Bull Shine On?
• Moonbeam and Rawhide
• Seasonally Speaking

APRIL 2005

• The 5 Ways to Trade
• Trend Following
• Pattern Recognition
• Breakouts
• Anti-Trend
• Value
• Loony Tunes Time?
• Seasonals Meet the Commercials

MAY 2005

• Stocks, Currencies, and the Great Oil Crisis
• Stocks vs. Oil Prices
• The Future of the Price of Crude Oil
• Trading Opportunities for May

JUNE 2005

• Buy Skype
• “The Mountains are High and the Emperor is Far Away"
• Cocoa Loco?

JULY 2005

• A World View from My Recent Trip
• A New Way To Make Money?
• Expressly for July and August

AUGUST 2005

• A Sure Sign You are About to Miss a Winning Trade... What you are about to read is a true story, one that’s happened so many times to me I’d like to write about it so it does not happen to you...
• Introducing --- the KOSPI
• Inside Days, Holidays and Happy Days
• There were several things that clued me into what should have been a great trade...
• The Morning After Holiday Effect
  • The Other Trade Is A Strange One

SEPTEMBER 2005

• Volume, Old Age and Reality
• Combined Session Trading Volume and Price
• The Lesson of Half a Billion Dollars
• How to Look at Track Records
• A Currency Move in Our Future?

OCTOBER 2005

• A Walk on the Wild Side of $2 Billion
• Trades to Look For

NOVEMBER 2005

• Confessions of a Commodity Trader...
• The Temptations Of Trading
• Calling Market Tops And Bottoms
• Trend Continuation Trades
• Opening up the Book on the Commitment of Traders Report
• Open the Interest and Market Bottoms
• REFCO

DECEMBER 2005

• System Trading for 2005
• The Day Trading Dream
• The Long Term... The Myth of the Turtle
• Looking to the Future
• Gold Forecast for 2006
• Holiday Trading Pointers
• Bond Traders
• S&P 500 Traders

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JANUARY 2006

• The World's Next Hot Commodity Market
• The Future of Futures is Here
• And the Best of the Best...

FEBRUARY 2006

• A New Way to Look at Inflation and Future Markets
• Beaming in on One Trade --- Beans
• Peanuts To Beans
• A Pointer on Commercials and Soybeans
  • Focus On Beans Or Meal Is The Lesson

MARCH 2006

• Things I Learn While Traveling... Traveling is like trading, buy low sell high.
  • Lessons from India’s greatest trader…
• The Anatomy of a Trade
• Speaking of Cotton in India
• A New Look at the CRB Index
  • Some Pointers…

APRIL 2006

• A Perfect Setup Trade? Feeder cattle have two powerful cycles we need to pay attention to this month---and this year---as there is a distinct possibility for the start of a major rally
• Take a Look at the Seasonal Pattern
• Years Ending In 6 Have Been Long Term Lows For Feeders
• Trade Review

MAY 2006

• Some Things I just Don't Get
• A Bear Market In The Grains
• Bonds Under the Microscope
  • As The Battle Of The Bonds Began…
• A Look at the Commerc
• A $60 Billion Error

JUNE 2006

• "It's Like a Separate Fantasy World" The best read of the month on technical analysis comes from Reuters…
• Support and Resistance
• Safety in Numbers
• Self-Fulfilling Prophecy?
• At the Crux of the Technical Analysis Issue
• What I think is important about technical analysis

JULY 2006

• Lessons from a Bank Robber
• What addictions drive traders?
• What disguises do traders use?
• Can traders use a team?
• A Looming Problem --- The End of COT Data?
  • Commodity Futures Commission May Change, or Eliminate, Reports
• Speaking of COT Data...
• Trades to Look for in July
• More Downside to Stocks?

AUGUST 2006

• The Times They Are A-Changin'
• The World Has Gone Electronic
• First the negatives to electronic markets.
• Easier To Manipulate
• And now the positives…
• A Word or Two on Cycles

SEPTEMBER 2006

• Do Large Traders know more than you?
• Improving OBV
  • This history
  • Two new ways of looking at OBV and a new measure of accumulation/distribution
• Soybean Set Up

OCTOBER 2006

• It's a Brave New World
  • The change to "seamless trading." How real is it?
  • The change in volatility.  If you trade you need to know about this change.
• A University Study on Fibonacci
  • What a cool school this business school in London must be!  Read what they have to say about Fib trading.
• The Shifting Sands of the Bond Market
• Using the COT Data on Monthly Charts

NOVEMBER 2006

• Introducing the Range Rider Index
  • Helps us tell when markets are at tops and bottoms
  • Code is given for Genesis and math is fully revealed
• Two Set Up Trades Worth Knowing About
  • a short term trade in the S&P 500 and one in the Gold market.  91% accurate
• Great trade for next June!

DECEMBER 2006

• Subscriber Quote: "I read your December newsletter, I can't tell you how important I think that information is, that one newsletter was worth the price for the entire year, and probably more." 
  • A tremendous lesson in money management and system development, illustrated so you can look for yourself at what makes for a profitable trading. 
• Interesting twist in money management.
• Forecast a hog market to decline
• Seasonal trades due at holiday time.

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JANUARY 2007

• Seasonal trading in the Bond Market. 
  • We nail it... right to the day... Most bullish and bearish fundamentals set ups for this market. One 70% accuracy, one with over 90% accuracy. 
  • For short-term not long-term traders.
• Commodity Timing Track record for 2006
  • The Good, the Bad and the Ugly - newsletter made $34,28

FEBRUARY 2007

• An Astonishing Out of Sample Test...
  • A Follow-up on an S&P pattern I introduced to subscribers in August of 2005. 23 more trades, making $13,690 with 74% accuracy.
• OOPS!
  • How to Combine with Seasonal Influences
• End of the Energy Bear Market?
  • My specific forecast of when the bull market in energies begin and what you can do about it.

MARCH 2007

• Longest letter I have written in almost 40 years of publishing
  • Two gargantuan changes - Electronic trading and the New Cot Supplemental Report. 
• Seasonal Set Up Trade for Hogs
• Cot Report and the potential for disaster with the Commodity Index Funds

APRIL 2007

• A Rant and Rave Worth Reading
  • A market letter like you have never read before...the rants and raves of the publisher/trader about subscribers as well as the markets.
• A New Twist in Measuring Accumulation Distribution
  • WOVI - my latest new indicator

MAY 2007

• How to Use an Advisory Service
• WOBOI
  • The final chapter in our search for at tool better than On Balance Volume
• Two Set Up Trades
  • Feeder Cattle and the Dollar Index

JUNE 2007

• Psychology of gambling vs. speculating... plumb the depths of being addicted to danger and come out with solid advice.
• The Best Candlestick Chart Patterns
• 4 Well Researched Seasonal Trades for June Every Year!

JULY 2007

• Secrets of System Building
  • $59,668 Profit on 156 trades with a 1.8 Risk Reward Ratio
  • How this Particular Pattern Was Developed, Improved and Made Ready for Trading
• What Market is Most Set Up to Sell Short
  • Which Indicators are Best to Show us Such Ripe Opportunities.

AUGUST 2007

• You Can't Program the Future
  • Just One Little Obstacle Programmers and System Traders Forget
• Sweet Spot of Money Management
  • Dick Canfield's Sparkling New Idea about When to Stop Trading a System
• How to Take Advantage of Seasonal Set Up Trades

SEPTEMBER 2007

• You Can't Program the Future
  • Programmers and real people are presented with an invaluable lesson here! But there's just one little obstacle programmers and system traders forget.
• Sweet Spot of Money Management
  • I wish this was my idea; it is not. It's the product of Dick Canfield and is a sparkling new idea about when to stop trading a system, as well as when to start. Dick looks at Risk, Loss and Growth, so we can know when to step aside.
• How to Take Advantage of Seasonal Set Up Trades
  • This idea is mine! We all know seasonals work... and don't work! How can we tell the difference?  This letter explains how with examples and a forecasted trade.

OCTOBER 2007

• 23 Pages... Williams VIX FIX - This is a major issue introducing the Williams Vix Fix indicator; a synthetic Volatility Indicator that mimics the Vix Index. The 'Vix' is only available on a view stock indices. My Vix Fix can be applied to any market average, stock or commodity and in any country. 
• Also a note on my semi-retirement and changes ahead for the letter.

NOVEMBER 2007

• Lessons Learned the Hard Way -  I've made lots errors in the last 45 years of trading and I hope you can learn from them.
• The Advanced COT Index - There is a new way to look at COT data. I begin the explanation in this letter... we will be using this tool a great deal in 2008.
• 2 powerful seasonal trades; one on Bonds with 86% accuracy in the last 30 years, and an S&P one with 76% winners since 1982. Both trades have large average profit per share trades.

DECEMBER 2007

• BUY GOLD FOR 10% BELOW SPOT? You bet, I've done it and show you how. No sale commissions either. If you are a gold guy or gal this letter is worth thou$ands.
• Darrell Zimmerman - One mans attempt to corner the bond market; great reading and lessons to be learned.
• False Break Buy and Sell Patterns - New twists to an old, old strategy for pinpointing market lows, or using as a specific trading pattern with entry, exits and stops explained in full. A complete system.
• THE COTTON CAPER... my thoughts on what's in store for this market in the future.

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In late 2007 I announced my "retirement." I was very excited about the opportunity to slow down and focus on my own personal trading. However the majority of my subscribers asked me if I would continue the trade recommendations and reduce the monthly publication. So, I compromised and reduced the newsletter from once per month to once per quarter... delaying my retirement by one year. Commodity Timing finished its 40th year in 2008. It was quite a ride.

5 ISSUES TOTAL - THESE ARE QUARTERLY REPORTS

 

JANUARY 2008 - Q1

• What I learned and have relearned in commodity trading

  • Which lessons are the hardest to learn
  • Which lessons are the most important
  • Why I don't trust track records
  • How to look at track records so you can evaluate them correctly
• See the Commodity Timing Track Record with and without money management applied

• The start of 2008 was a pivotal point for me in picking up old indicators from the past to trade the new electronic markets.

APRIL 2008 - Q2

• Do you like trading price patterns? I divulge one of the most powerful short-term patterns, worth far more than the mere cost of these newsletters.
• The story of Frankie Joe, one of the greatest commodity traders of his era.
• The start of the demise of one of the hottest trading hands ever... Renaissance Capital.
• Another buy and sell pattern for you based on buying new lows and selling new highs.
• A pattern in 1937 stock prices continues to do quite well.

JULY 2008 - Q3

• The importance of avoiding a big loss and exactly how to do that. If you never lose big on any one trade you should stay ahead of the game.
• Learn about the importance of third-party trades... also cost me a lot of money... I hope you learn a lesson, a lesson that took me so many years to learn.
• Okay so we talked about large losses, how about large wins?
• Which moving average is the best to use? I look at moving averages you probably aren't aware of and ultimately give you my shadow technique. I think this technique is the most reliable moving average, trend following approach.
• Your health is more important than your wealth. Learn the importance of sleep and how trading can break up our sleep patterns. Read my solutions to getting a good night's sleep and trading better.
• A look at the forecasts made for gold and copper as well as an in-depth explanation of seasonal forecasts for these markets.

OCTOBER 2008 - Q4

• White space... what is it... how could it affect a chart? There is white space on all of the charts whether they are paper charts or computer-generated charts. You'll have to read the report to see what that really means. It has a definite psychological or mental influence on your perspective of the market.
• I announce my semi-retirement (for the second time)
• Trend following indicators used in conjunction with percent R.
• The dwarf test. This is a great little test that really gets at proving a system by actual performance, something that seems to be seldom mentioned or shown by system sellers.
• Bonds seasonality
• Learn the incredible change in margin that took place, what that meant to traders
• Seasonal influences for stock prices

JANUARY 2009 - Q5

• Parting Shots. This is my swan song... my last newsletter. I've tried to put in the real nitty-gritty of trading, what you absolutely must have to be successful. I also show proof of stops.
• The importance of talent, focus, and endurance; things we need as traders, just as professional athletes must have the same attributes. You need to know as a trader if you are a sprinter, middle distance runner or marathoner?
• My long-term forecast of stock prices from 2008 into 2015. If you are long-term cycle guy of course, this is the edition for you.

Only $200 for all 5 issues